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🗼 City Timing Decision Guide

Best Time to Visit Tokyo: Complete Guide

Tokyo is incredible year-round, but the right timing depends on your priority: sakura, weather comfort, budget, crowd level, food seasonality, or photo conditions. This page helps you choose the best-fit window fast.

Quick Answer: What matters most to you?

Perfect Weather: Most comfortable daytime temperatures and low humidity.

Best window: October - November

Backup: Mid-May (after Golden Week)

Recommended period score: 9.5/10

Quick Verdict (February 17, 2026)

Best overall windows: Late March-Early April or October-November.

Right now: February (Winter)

⭐ Rating: 7.5/10

💰 Price: Index 35

🚶 Crowds: Index 24

✅ Good for: Budget travel, Museum routes, Food-focused trips

❌ Avoid if: Warm-weather preference

Last updated: February 17, 2026, 10:00 AM JST

Next update: March 1, 2026

View Detailed February Guide

At a Glance Comparison

SeasonPeriodWeatherCrowdsPriceHighlightsRating
🌸 SpringMar-MayExcellentVery HighHighCherry blossoms, hanami, mild weather★★★★★
☀️ SummerJun-AugChallengingModerateModerate-HighFireworks, matsuri, summer nights★★★☆☆
🍁 FallSep-NovExcellentHighHighFoliage, perfect city-walk weather, food season★★★★★
❄️ WinterDec-FebCoolLow-ModerateLow-ModerateIlluminations, clear skies, value travel★★★★☆
Best Time to Visit Tokyo

The Verdict: Best Times Ranked

Expert ranking based on weather comfort, crowd pressure, cost efficiency, and seasonal experience quality.

Rankings

#2: October - November

Most balanced premium season with crisp air, low humidity, strong food culture, and excellent city-walk conditions.

Weather

55-68°F (13-20°C), clear and dry

Score: ★★★★★

Crowds

High but manageable

Score: ★★☆☆☆

Price

Expensive (25-40% above off-season)

Score: ★★☆☆☆

Best For

  • Photographers
  • Food-focused travelers
  • Weather-sensitive visitors
  • Second-time Tokyo trips

Avoid If

  • Lowest-cost trip targets only
  • Cherry blossom-only goals

Top Experiences

  • Rikugien and Koishikawa Korakuen night illuminations
  • Meiji Jingu Gaien ginkgo avenue
  • Autumn seasonal menus and market visits
  • Long urban photo walks with stable light

Insider Tips

  • 💡 October weather is usually more stable than November.
  • 💡 Maple and ginkgo peaks differ by 1-2 weeks.
  • 💡 Day trips to Nikko or Kamakura are highly efficient in this period.
  • 💡 Book 3-4 months ahead for central neighborhoods.

Sample 3-Day Itinerary

  • Day 1: Tsukiji + Hamarikyu + Ginza
  • Day 2: Asakusa + Ueno + Akihabara
  • Day 3: Harajuku + Shibuya + Rikugien
Best Time to Visit Tokyo

Season-by-Season Deep Dive

Understand Tokyo season personality by month with weather, crowd, price, and activity fit.

❄️ Winter (December - February)

Strong value season with clear skies and illumination culture, ideal for crowd-light and budget-focused city travel.

Overall season rating: 7.3/10

Pros

  • Lowest prices in Feb
  • Low crowds
  • Winter lights and clear air

Cons

  • Cold weather
  • Holiday closures around New Year

January

3-9°C · Rating 6.5/10

Best dates: Jan 5-31

Avoid: Jan 1-3

Highlights: New Year rituals · Winter sales · Clear skies

February

3-10°C · Rating 7.5/10

Best dates: Feb 20-28

Highlights: Cheapest month · Plum blossoms (late Feb) · Low queues

December

6-12°C · Rating 7.5/10

Best dates: Dec 1-20

Avoid: Dec 29-Jan 3

Highlights: Illuminations · Holiday atmosphere · Clear air

Best Time to Visit Tokyo

Month-by-Month Comparison

12-month matrix for weather, rain, humidity, crowd pressure, pricing, and practical travel fit.

MonthTemp (°C)Rain (mm)HumidityCrowdPriceRatingBest For
January3-9°C5252%
6.5/10Low crowds after Jan 4, Shopping
February3-10°C5654%
7.5/10Budget travel, Museum routes
March7-14°C11860%
8/10Early spring routes, Sakura anticipation
April13-18°C12564%
9.5/10First-time Tokyo trips, Photo-heavy itineraries
May18-24°C13867%
8.5/10Balanced weather-value trips, Outdoor city routes
June21-26°C16876%
7/10Budget-conscious plans, Museum-heavy itineraries
July24-30°C15678%
6.5/10Matsuri seekers, Night-city culture
August25-31°C15479%
6/10Festival-focused trips
September22-27°C20977%
7/10Flexible schedules
October16-21°C19768%
9.5/10All-day walking, Photography
November10-16°C9263%
9/10Foliage seekers, City + garden routes
December6-12°C5156%
7.5/10Couples, Night photography
Download monthly comparison CSV
Best Time to Visit Tokyo

Special Interest Guides

Fast recommendations for specific goals: blossoms, foliage, budget, photos, food, festivals, and family travel.

Best Time for Cherry Blossoms

Best: March 28 - April 5

Backup: April 6-12 (petal-fall phase)

Peak sakura visibility and strongest hanami atmosphere.

⚠️ Book 4-6 months early to avoid inventory risk.

Best Time for Fall Foliage

Best: November 15-30

Backup: October 25 - November 10

Best overlap of maples, ginkgo, and cool photo-friendly light.

⚠️ Weekend garden crowds can be heavy.

Best Time for Budget Travel

Best: February

Backup: June

Lowest hotel and flight pricing of the year.

⚠️ Cold weather and fewer headline seasonal events.

Best Time to Avoid Crowds

Best: February - Early March

Backup: Late November - Early December

Low queue pressure in top districts and museums.

⚠️ Cool conditions and shorter daylight in winter.

Best Time for Photography

Best: October - November

Backup: Late March - Early April

Stable skies, excellent contrast, and seasonal color layers.

⚠️ Prime spots still require early starts.

Best Time for Food Experiences

Best: October - November

Backup: January - February

Autumn ingredients and winter comfort dishes both peak strongly.

⚠️ Top restaurants require early booking in peak season.

Best Time for Festivals

Best: July - August

Backup: March-April

Highest density of matsuri and fireworks.

⚠️ Heat and humidity can reduce daytime activity tolerance.

Best Time for Families

Best: Mid-May to Early June

Backup: Late October

Good weather with fewer peak-season bottlenecks.

⚠️ Golden Week and school holiday windows inflate costs quickly.

Best Time to Visit Tokyo

Weather Deep Dive

Temperature, rainfall, and humidity trends by month with side-by-side month comparison.

Tokyo Weather Signals by Month

January

3-9°C

Rainfall 52mm

Humidity 52%

Temp span

February

3-10°C

Rainfall 56mm

Humidity 54%

Temp span

March

7-14°C

Rainfall 118mm

Humidity 60%

Temp span

April

13-18°C

Rainfall 125mm

Humidity 64%

Temp span

May

18-24°C

Rainfall 138mm

Humidity 67%

Temp span

June

21-26°C

Rainfall 168mm

Humidity 76%

Temp span

July

24-30°C

Rainfall 156mm

Humidity 78%

Temp span

August

25-31°C

Rainfall 154mm

Humidity 79%

Temp span

September

22-27°C

Rainfall 209mm

Humidity 77%

Temp span

October

16-21°C

Rainfall 197mm

Humidity 68%

Temp span

November

10-16°C

Rainfall 92mm

Humidity 63%

Temp span

December

6-12°C

Rainfall 51mm

Humidity 56%

Temp span

Month Weather Comparison

October vs February

Temperature: 16-21°C vs 3-10°C

Rainfall: 197mm vs 56mm

Humidity: 68% vs 54%

Packing focus: Light jacket, Long sleeves, Comfortable shoes

Download weather dataset CSV
Best Time to Visit Tokyo

Crowd Calendar

Peak and off-peak windows with holiday spikes and practical day-level crowd prediction.

Major Crowd Spikes

Golden Week (Apr 29 - May 5)

100%

Highest domestic travel pressure nationwide.

Cherry Blossom Peak (Mar 28 - Apr 7)

95%

Extremely dense in sakura hotspots.

Autumn Peak (Nov 15 - Nov 30)

85%

High in parks, gardens, and evening illumination areas.

Christmas to New Year (Dec 20 - Jan 3)

90%

Holiday demand and operational closures overlap.

Late Winter (Feb)

30%

Most crowd-light major month in Tokyo city zones.

Crowd Predictor

Predicted crowd level: 100% (Extremely High)

Base month index: 92. Day-type adjustment applied for practical planning.

Best mitigation: start flagship attractions before 8:00 AM and keep indoor blocks for midday.

Typical day pattern

6-8 AM: Low · 10 AM-3 PM: Highest · 6-9 PM: Moderate-high in top districts

Download crowd + price calendar CSV
Best Time to Visit Tokyo

Price Calendar

Hotel and flight index trends by month with booking timing strategy.

January

Hotel index: 42
Flight index: 41

Strong value month for both hotels and flights.

February

Hotel index: 35
Flight index: 34

Strong value month for both hotels and flights.

March

Hotel index: 70
Flight index: 69

Moderate pricing; early booking still recommended for central zones.

April

Hotel index: 88
Flight index: 88

Book far ahead; premium seasonal pricing expected.

May

Hotel index: 64
Flight index: 64

Moderate pricing; early booking still recommended for central zones.

June

Hotel index: 50
Flight index: 49

Moderate pricing; early booking still recommended for central zones.

July

Hotel index: 62
Flight index: 61

Moderate pricing; early booking still recommended for central zones.

August

Hotel index: 60
Flight index: 59

Moderate pricing; early booking still recommended for central zones.

September

Hotel index: 58
Flight index: 57

Moderate pricing; early booking still recommended for central zones.

October

Hotel index: 76
Flight index: 76

Moderate pricing; early booking still recommended for central zones.

November

Hotel index: 82
Flight index: 82

Book far ahead; premium seasonal pricing expected.

December

Hotel index: 68
Flight index: 68

Moderate pricing; early booking still recommended for central zones.

Best Time to Visit Tokyo

Events & Festivals Calendar

Monthly event lens with crowd impact and booking pressure to reduce surprises.

MonthEventTimingCrowd ImpactBooking Need
JanuaryHatsumode Shrine VisitsJan 1-3Very HighNo ticket, but schedule early-hour visits.
FebruarySetsubun EventsAround Feb 3ModerateNo booking usually needed.
MarchCherry Blossom Opening PeriodLate MarchHighHotel and key dining bookings required early.
AprilHanami Peak WeeksEarly AprilVery HighCritical: book 4-6 months ahead.
MayGolden WeekApr 29 - May 5Very HighCritical: early transport and hotel booking.
JuneHydrangea ViewingMid-Late JuneLowNo major booking pressure.
JulySumida River FireworksLate JulyVery HighReserve viewing/dining spots early.
AugustObon and Summer MatsuriMid AugustHighPlan transport carefully.
SeptemberAutumn Kickoff FestivalsLate SeptemberModerateWatch weather for typhoon impacts.
OctoberAutumn Cultural EventsOctoberModerateBook popular dining and hotels early.
NovemberGarden Foliage IlluminationsMid-Late NovemberHighAdvance tickets/slots recommended.
DecemberWinter IlluminationsDec 1-25ModerateBook holiday week separately.
Download events calendar CSV
Best Time to Visit Tokyo

Interactive Tools

Decision helpers for month selection, budget planning, crowd prediction, and booking sequence.

Best Time Finder Quiz

Recommendation

1) October (9.5/10)

2) May (8.5/10)

3) November (9/10)

Top fit reason: Best weather of year · All-day walking

Tokyo Budget Calculator

Hotel: $1,232

Food: $770

Transport: $308

Attractions: $392

Local buffer: $252

Flights: $1,554

Contingency: $295

Estimated total: $4,803

~$343 per person/day

Booking Timeline

4-6 months before trip

  • Book flights and core hotel.
  • Lock high-demand windows (sakura, autumn, holidays).

2-3 months before trip

  • Reserve premium restaurants.
  • Book key observation decks or special events.

3-4 weeks before trip

  • Finalize day-by-day route.
  • Recheck weather and seasonal progression.

7-10 days before trip

  • Adjust outdoor vs indoor balance.
  • Confirm transport disruptions or holiday closures.
Download budget template
Best Time to Visit Tokyo

Practical Tips

Operational advice for booking, packing, crowd management, and trip cost control.

Booking Strategy

  • Cherry blossom and autumn peak windows require the earliest booking timeline.
  • Use refundable rates for weather-sensitive seasons.
  • For central Tokyo neighborhoods, rates climb fastest as dates approach.

Packing by Season

  • Spring/Fall: light layers and walking-first footwear.
  • Summer: breathable clothing plus cooling/hydration setup.
  • Winter: insulating layers for evening routes and wind exposure.

Crowd Management

  • Use 6-8 AM windows for flagship attractions.
  • Place indoor attractions in peak midday crowd hours.
  • Prioritize weekdays for gardens and seasonal photo spots.

Money-Saving Tactics

  • Travel in February or June for best accommodation value.
  • Book non-refundable rates only after route confidence is high.
  • Leverage convenience stores and lunch sets to reduce daily burn rate.
Best Time to Visit Tokyo

Tokyo Timing FAQ

Common decision questions answered with practical planning context.

Late March to early April and October to November are the strongest overall windows. Spring is iconic for sakura, while fall offers the most balanced weather and city comfort.

Cherry Blossom Forecast 2026

Exact bloom timing and city-level sakura tracker.

Open guide

Fall Foliage Tracker 2026

Real-time koyo planning and peak windows.

Open guide

Winter Ski & Onsen Guide

If you are comparing Tokyo with winter mountain routes.

Open guide

April in Japan Guide

Detailed monthly strategy for spring peak season.

Open guide

November in Japan Guide

Detailed monthly strategy for autumn peak season.

Open guide

Japan Meteorological Agency

Official weather and climate reference source.

Open resource

Download Center

All files are available under `public/downloads`.

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Last Updated: February 17, 2026, 10:00 AM JST

Next Update: March 1, 2026

Decision Confidence: 90% (month-level)

This guide is decision support for month selection. For date-level seasonal events (sakura/foliage), always verify with dedicated forecast pages.

Download FAQ quick reference